España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Cubas de la Sagra: PP would keep its majority

Cubas de la Sagra (Madrid, 6,698 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
8 councillors (2023: 8) · 57.3% of the vote (2023: 58.8%) Majority 97%
VOX+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 20.3% of the vote (2023: 13.1%) Majority 0%
PSOE−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 17.7% of the vote (2023: 21.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 3% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 58.8% → 57.3% 8 → 8 councillors
  2. VOXVox 13.1% → 20.3% 2 → 3 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 21.1% → 17.7% 3 → 2 councillors
  4. PODEMOS-IU-AVSumar, Podemos and allies 5.2% → 2.9% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,368 valid votes including 63 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Cubas de la Sagra in size, in Madrid

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