Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Campo Real: no list would have a majority, VOX largest

Campo Real (Madrid, 6,651 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

VOX+1
6 councillors (2023: 5) · 45.4% of the vote (2023: 35.0%) Majority 41%
PP−1
6 councillors (2023: 7) · 42.9% of the vote (2023: 47.4%) Majority 27%
PSOE±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 8.3% of the vote (2023: 11.9%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 32% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. VOXVox 35.0% → 45.4% 5 → 6 councillors
  2. PPPP 47.4% → 42.9% 7 → 6 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 11.9% → 8.3% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. IU - PODEMOS - AVSumar, Podemos and allies 4.1% → 1.8% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,174 valid votes including 50 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Campo Real in size, in Madrid

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