Guadalix de la Sierra: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest
Guadalix de la Sierra (Madrid, 6,672 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- 85%no list with a majority
- 3,564valid votes in 2023 (72% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PSOE±0
6
councillors (2023: 6) · 39.2% of the vote (2023: 43.5%)
Majority 15%
PP−1
3
councillors (2023: 4) · 25.0% of the vote (2023: 26.1%)
Majority 0%
VOX+1
3
councillors (2023: 2) · 21.0% of the vote (2023: 13.5%)
Majority 0%
CS±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 10.3% of the vote (2023: 10.0%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 85% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 43.5% → 39.2% 6 → 6 councillors
- PPPP 26.1% → 25.0% 4 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 13.5% → 21.0% 2 → 3 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 10.0% → 10.3% 1 → 1 councillors
- PODEMOS - IU - AVSumar, Podemos and allies 5.6% → 3.2% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,564 valid votes including 49 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Guadalix de la Sierra in size, in Madrid
- Campo Real6,651 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- Cubas de la Sagra6,698 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- Miraflores de la Sierra6,711 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- Nuevo Baztán6,760 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- Fuente el Saz de Jarama7,034 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- Pedrezuela6,307 inhabitants · 13 councillors