España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Guadalix de la Sierra: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Guadalix de la Sierra (Madrid, 6,672 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 39.2% of the vote (2023: 43.5%) Majority 15%
PP−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 25.0% of the vote (2023: 26.1%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 21.0% of the vote (2023: 13.5%) Majority 0%
CS±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 10.3% of the vote (2023: 10.0%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 85% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Guadalix de la Sierra

Guadalix de la Sierra is a municipality in the province of Madrid with 6,672 inhabitants, the 76th largest of its 179 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 43.5% of the vote and 6 seats; PP was second with 4. 71.9% of the 4,957 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE would be largest on 6 of 13.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 43.5% → 39.2% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. PPPP 26.1% → 25.0% 4 → 3 councillors
  3. VOXVox 13.5% → 21.0% 2 → 3 councillors
  4. CSCiudadanos 10.0% → 10.3% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. PODEMOS - IU - AVSumar, Podemos and allies 5.6% → 3.2% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,564 valid votes including 49 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Guadalix de la Sierra in size, in Madrid

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