España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Miraflores de la Sierra: PP would keep its majority

Miraflores de la Sierra (Madrid, 6,711 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 52.1% of the vote (2023: 52.5%) Majority 83%
PSOE−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 23.2% of the vote (2023: 26.4%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 15.4% of the vote (2023: 9.1%) Majority 0%
IU - PODEMOS - AV±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 7.8% of the vote (2023: 10.5%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 17% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 52.5% → 52.1% 7 → 7 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 26.4% → 23.2% 4 → 3 councillors
  3. VOXVox 9.1% → 15.4% 1 → 2 councillors
  4. IU - PODEMOS - AVSumar, Podemos and allies 10.5% → 7.8% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,414 valid votes including 53 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Miraflores de la Sierra in size, in Madrid

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