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Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · Madrid

Miraflores de la Sierra: PP would keep its majority

Miraflores de la Sierra (Madrid, 6,711 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 52.1% of the vote (2023: 52.5%) Majority 83%
PSOE−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 23.2% of the vote (2023: 26.4%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 15.4% of the vote (2023: 9.1%) Majority 0%
IU - PODEMOS - AV±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 7.8% of the vote (2023: 10.5%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 17% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

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About Miraflores de la Sierra

Miraflores de la Sierra is a municipality in the province of Madrid with 6,711 inhabitants, the 74th largest of its 179 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 52.5% of the vote and 7 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 4. 70.7% of the 4,828 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 83% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 52.5% → 52.1% 7 → 7 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 26.4% → 23.2% 4 → 3 councillors
  3. VOXVox 9.1% → 15.4% 1 → 2 councillors
  4. IU - PODEMOS - AVSumar, Podemos and allies 10.5% → 7.8% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,414 valid votes including 53 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Miraflores de la Sierra in size, in Madrid

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