Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Becerril de la Sierra: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Becerril de la Sierra (Madrid, 6,197 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 31.5% of the vote (2023: 34.2%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
4 councillors (2023: 3) · 28.5% of the vote (2023: 20.4%) Majority under 1%
PSOE±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 25.6% of the vote (2023: 30.7%) Majority 0%
SOMOS BECERRIL±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 7.1% of the vote (2023: 7.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Becerril de la Sierra

Becerril de la Sierra is a municipality in the province of Madrid with 6,197 inhabitants, the 79th largest of its 179 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 34.2% of the vote and 5 seats; PSOE was second with 4. 72.5% of the 4,642 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 4 of 13.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 34.2% → 31.5% 5 → 4 councillors
  2. VOXVox 20.4% → 28.5% 3 → 4 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 30.7% → 25.6% 4 → 4 councillors
  4. SOMOS BECERRILLocal lists 7.2% → 7.1% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. VXBLocal lists 5.5% → 5.4% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,366 valid votes including 64 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Becerril de la Sierra in size, in Madrid

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