San Andrés del Rabanedo: no list would have a majority, U.P.L. largest
San Andrés del Rabanedo (León, 29,888 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- over 99%no list with a majority
- 13,394valid votes in 2023 (55% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About San Andrés del Rabanedo
San Andrés del Rabanedo is a municipality in the province of León with 29,888 inhabitants, the 3rd largest of its 211 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 U.P.L. came first with 25.6% of the vote and 6 seats; PP was second with 6. 55.2% of the 24,249 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: U.P.L. would be largest on 6 of 21.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- U.P.L.Local lists 25.6% → 26.0% 6 → 6 councillors
- PPPP 25.4% → 23.9% 6 → 6 councillors
- VOXVox 12.7% → 19.7% 3 → 4 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 21.1% → 17.6% 4 → 4 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 5.3% → 5.4% 1 → 1 councillors
- IU-PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 6.4% → 3.9% 1 → 0 councillors
- CCDLocal lists 2.1% → 2.1% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 13,394 valid votes including 188 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.