Astorga: PP would keep its majority
Astorga (León, 10,392 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 17councillors, 9 for a majority
- 97%PP majority
- 5,506valid votes in 2023 (64% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP±0
11
councillors (2023: 11) · 58.3% of the vote (2023: 58.0%)
Majority 97%
PSOE−1
4
councillors (2023: 5) · 24.6% of the vote (2023: 27.6%)
Majority 0%
VOX+1
1
councillors (2023: 0) · 10.0% of the vote (2023: 4.9%)
Majority 0%
IU CONTIGO±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 5.1% of the vote (2023: 7.5%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 3% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 58.0% → 58.3% 11 → 11 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 27.6% → 24.6% 5 → 4 councillors
- VOXVox 4.9% → 10.0% 0 → 1 councillors
- IU CONTIGOSumar, Podemos and allies 7.5% → 5.1% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 5,506 valid votes including 109 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.