Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

La Bañeza: no list would have a majority, PP largest

La Bañeza (León, 10,024 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP−1
7 councillors (2023: 8) · 40.7% of the vote (2023: 42.7%) Majority 14%
PSOE±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 26.3% of the vote (2023: 30.6%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 16.4% of the vote (2023: 10.2%) Majority 0%
U.P.L.±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 9.0% of the vote (2023: 8.9%) Majority 0%
CS±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 6.5% of the vote (2023: 6.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 86% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 42.7% → 40.7% 8 → 7 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 30.6% → 26.3% 5 → 5 councillors
  3. VOXVox 10.2% → 16.4% 2 → 3 councillors
  4. U.P.L.Local lists 8.9% → 9.0% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. CSCiudadanos 6.4% → 6.5% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,942 valid votes including 58 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near La Bañeza in size, in León

Every municipality in León → · All of Spain →