La Bañeza: no list would have a majority, PP largest
La Bañeza (León, 10,024 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 17councillors, 9 for a majority
- 86%no list with a majority
- 4,942valid votes in 2023 (62% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP−1
7
councillors (2023: 8) · 40.7% of the vote (2023: 42.7%)
Majority 14%
PSOE±0
5
councillors (2023: 5) · 26.3% of the vote (2023: 30.6%)
Majority 0%
VOX+1
3
councillors (2023: 2) · 16.4% of the vote (2023: 10.2%)
Majority 0%
U.P.L.±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 9.0% of the vote (2023: 8.9%)
Majority 0%
CS±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 6.5% of the vote (2023: 6.4%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 86% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 42.7% → 40.7% 8 → 7 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 30.6% → 26.3% 5 → 5 councillors
- VOXVox 10.2% → 16.4% 2 → 3 councillors
- U.P.L.Local lists 8.9% → 9.0% 1 → 1 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 6.4% → 6.5% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,942 valid votes including 58 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.