La Bañeza: no list would have a majority, PP largest
La Bañeza (León, 10,024 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 17councillors, 9 for a majority
- 86%no list with a majority
- 4,942valid votes in 2023 (62% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 86% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About La Bañeza
La Bañeza is a municipality in the province of León with 10,024 inhabitants, the 6th largest of its 211 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 42.7% of the vote and 8 seats; PSOE was second with 5. 62.4% of the 7,915 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 7 of 17.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 42.7% → 40.7% 8 → 7 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 30.6% → 26.3% 5 → 5 councillors
- VOXVox 10.2% → 16.4% 2 → 3 councillors
- U.P.L.Local lists 8.9% → 9.0% 1 → 1 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 6.4% → 6.5% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,942 valid votes including 58 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.