San Andrés del Rabanedo: no list would have a majority, U.P.L. largest
San Andrés del Rabanedo (León, 29,888 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- over 99%no list with a majority
- 13,394valid votes in 2023 (55% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
U.P.L.±0
6
councillors (2023: 6) · 26.0% of the vote (2023: 25.6%)
Majority 0%
PP±0
6
councillors (2023: 6) · 23.9% of the vote (2023: 25.4%)
Majority 0%
VOX+1
4
councillors (2023: 3) · 19.7% of the vote (2023: 12.7%)
Majority 0%
PSOE±0
4
councillors (2023: 4) · 17.6% of the vote (2023: 21.1%)
Majority 0%
CS±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 5.4% of the vote (2023: 5.3%)
Majority 0%
IU-PODEMOS−1
0
councillors (2023: 1) · 3.9% of the vote (2023: 6.4%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- U.P.L.Local lists 25.6% → 26.0% 6 → 6 councillors
- PPPP 25.4% → 23.9% 6 → 6 councillors
- VOXVox 12.7% → 19.7% 3 → 4 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 21.1% → 17.6% 4 → 4 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 5.3% → 5.4% 1 → 1 councillors
- IU-PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 6.4% → 3.9% 1 → 0 councillors
- CCDLocal lists 2.1% → 2.1% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 13,394 valid votes including 188 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.