Ponferrada: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest
Ponferrada (León, 63,052 inhabitants) elects 25 councillors on 23 May 2027; 13 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 25councillors, 13 for a majority
- 99%no list with a majority
- 29,987valid votes in 2023 (58% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PSOE−1
10
councillors (2023: 11) · 30.1% of the vote (2023: 33.7%)
Majority under 1%
PP−1
9
councillors (2023: 10) · 30.0% of the vote (2023: 30.8%)
Majority 1%
VOX+2
4
councillors (2023: 2) · 13.1% of the vote (2023: 7.4%)
Majority 0%
C. BIERZO±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 9.0% of the vote (2023: 8.6%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (13 of 25). No list with a majority in 99% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 33.7% → 30.1% 11 → 10 councillors
- PPPP 30.8% → 30.0% 10 → 9 councillors
- VOXVox 7.4% → 13.1% 2 → 4 councillors
- C. BIERZOLocal lists 8.6% → 9.0% 2 → 2 councillors
- P.R.B.Local lists 4.7% → 4.9% 0 → 0 councillors
- U.P.L.Local lists 4.7% → 4.8% 0 → 0 councillors
- PODEMOS-AVSumar, Podemos and allies 4.8% → 2.6% 0 → 0 councillors
- PCLocal lists 1.4% → 1.4% 0 → 0 councillors
- P.S.L.F.Local lists 1.2% → 1.3% 0 → 0 councillors
- BIERZO YALocal lists 0.6% → 0.6% 0 → 0 councillors
- VIASLocal lists 0.6% → 0.6% 0 → 0 councillors
- IDLocal lists 0.1% → 0.1% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 29,987 valid votes including 436 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.