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Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · León

Ponferrada: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Ponferrada (León, 63,052 inhabitants) elects 25 councillors on 23 May 2027; 13 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
10 councillors (2023: 11) · 30.1% of the vote (2023: 33.7%) Majority under 1%
PP−1
9 councillors (2023: 10) · 30.0% of the vote (2023: 30.8%) Majority 1%
VOX+2
4 councillors (2023: 2) · 13.1% of the vote (2023: 7.4%) Majority 0%
C. BIERZO±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 9.0% of the vote (2023: 8.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (13 of 25). No list with a majority in 99% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 33.7% → 30.1% 11 → 10 councillors
  2. PPPP 30.8% → 30.0% 10 → 9 councillors
  3. VOXVox 7.4% → 13.1% 2 → 4 councillors
  4. C. BIERZOLocal lists 8.6% → 9.0% 2 → 2 councillors
  5. P.R.B.Local lists 4.7% → 4.9% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. U.P.L.Local lists 4.7% → 4.8% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. PODEMOS-AVSumar, Podemos and allies 4.8% → 2.6% 0 → 0 councillors
  8. PCLocal lists 1.4% → 1.4% 0 → 0 councillors
  9. P.S.L.F.Local lists 1.2% → 1.3% 0 → 0 councillors
  10. BIERZO YALocal lists 0.6% → 0.6% 0 → 0 councillors
  11. VIASLocal lists 0.6% → 0.6% 0 → 0 councillors
  12. IDLocal lists 0.1% → 0.1% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 29,987 valid votes including 436 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Ponferrada in size, in León

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