Baeza: no list would have a majority, PP largest
Baeza (Jaén, 15,773 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 17councillors, 9 for a majority
- 78%no list with a majority
- 9,291valid votes in 2023 (73% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 78% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Baeza
Baeza is a municipality in the province of Jaén with 15,773 inhabitants, the 8th largest of its 97 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 40.4% of the vote and 8 seats; PSOE was second with 7. 72.6% of the 12,793 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 8 of 17.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 40.4% → 40.3% 8 → 8 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 38.5% → 35.2% 7 → 6 councillors
- UALocal lists 9.8% → 10.3% 2 → 2 councillors
- VOXVox 4.7% → 9.7% 0 → 1 councillors
- PARA LA GENTESumar, Podemos and allies 4.5% → 2.4% 0 → 0 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 1.2% → 1.2% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 9,291 valid votes including 77 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.