Baeza: no list would have a majority, PP largest
Baeza (Jaén, 15,773 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 17councillors, 9 for a majority
- 78%no list with a majority
- 9,291valid votes in 2023 (73% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP±0
8
councillors (2023: 8) · 40.3% of the vote (2023: 40.4%)
Majority 18%
PSOE−1
6
councillors (2023: 7) · 35.2% of the vote (2023: 38.5%)
Majority 3%
UA±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 10.3% of the vote (2023: 9.8%)
Majority 0%
VOX+1
1
councillors (2023: 0) · 9.7% of the vote (2023: 4.7%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 78% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 40.4% → 40.3% 8 → 8 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 38.5% → 35.2% 7 → 6 councillors
- UALocal lists 9.8% → 10.3% 2 → 2 councillors
- VOXVox 4.7% → 9.7% 0 → 1 councillors
- PARA LA GENTESumar, Podemos and allies 4.5% → 2.4% 0 → 0 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 1.2% → 1.2% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 9,291 valid votes including 77 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.