Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Jódar: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Jódar (Jaén, 11,533 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
8 councillors (2023: 8) · 42.4% of the vote (2023: 43.7%) Majority 31%
CON ANDALUCÍA−1
6 councillors (2023: 7) · 32.2% of the vote (2023: 35.5%) Majority 1%
PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 14.8% of the vote (2023: 14.7%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 5.2% of the vote (2023: 1.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 68% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 43.7% → 42.4% 8 → 8 councillors
  2. CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 35.5% → 32.2% 7 → 6 councillors
  3. PPPP 14.7% → 14.8% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. VOXVox 1.1% → 5.2% 0 → 1 councillors
  5. CSCiudadanos 3.5% → 3.8% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 6,187 valid votes including 96 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Jódar in size, in Jaén

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