Mengíbar: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest
Mengíbar (Jaén, 9,965 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- 45%PSOE majority
- 4,910valid votes in 2023 (63% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PSOE−1
6
councillors (2023: 7) · 46.5% of the vote (2023: 50.8%)
Majority 45%
PP±0
6
councillors (2023: 6) · 41.5% of the vote (2023: 42.3%)
Majority 13%
VOX+1
1
councillors (2023: 0) · 10.5% of the vote (2023: 5.4%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 41% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 50.8% → 46.5% 7 → 6 councillors
- PPPP 42.3% → 41.5% 6 → 6 councillors
- VOXVox 5.4% → 10.5% 0 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,910 valid votes including 74 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.