Ayamonte: PP would keep its majority
Ayamonte (Huelva, 21,725 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- 95%PP majority
- 9,610valid votes in 2023 (60% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 5% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Ayamonte
Ayamonte is a municipality in the province of Huelva with 21,725 inhabitants, the 6th largest of its 80 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 54% of the vote and 13 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE-A was second with 5. 60.3% of the 15,950 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 13 seats, a majority, which it holds in 95% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 54.0% → 53.8% 13 → 13 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 22.4% → 19.4% 5 → 4 councillors
- AHORA INDEPENDIENTESLocal lists 14.6% → 15.3% 3 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 2.2% → 6.4% 0 → 1 councillors
- AYAHLocal lists 3.6% → 3.7% 0 → 0 councillors
- CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 2.2% → 0.2% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 9,610 valid votes including 109 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.