Ayamonte: PP would keep its majority
Ayamonte (Huelva, 21,725 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- 95%PP majority
- 9,610valid votes in 2023 (60% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP±0
13
councillors (2023: 13) · 53.8% of the vote (2023: 54.0%)
Majority 95%
PSOE-A−1
4
councillors (2023: 5) · 19.4% of the vote (2023: 22.4%)
Majority 0%
AHORA INDEPENDIENTES±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 15.3% of the vote (2023: 14.6%)
Majority 0%
VOX+1
1
councillors (2023: 0) · 6.4% of the vote (2023: 2.2%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 5% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 54.0% → 53.8% 13 → 13 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 22.4% → 19.4% 5 → 4 councillors
- AHORA INDEPENDIENTESLocal lists 14.6% → 15.3% 3 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 2.2% → 6.4% 0 → 1 councillors
- AYAHLocal lists 3.6% → 3.7% 0 → 0 councillors
- CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 2.2% → 0.2% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 9,610 valid votes including 109 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.