Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Moguer: no list would have a majority, PSOE-A largest

Moguer (Huelva, 22,643 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE-A−1
10 councillors (2023: 11) · 43.5% of the vote (2023: 47.7%) Majority 23%
PP±0
8 councillors (2023: 8) · 37.3% of the vote (2023: 38.1%) Majority 7%
AVEMA±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 9.7% of the vote (2023: 9.4%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 8.6% of the vote (2023: 4.0%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 70% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOE-APSOE 47.7% → 43.5% 11 → 10 councillors
  2. PPPP 38.1% → 37.3% 8 → 8 councillors
  3. AVEMALocal lists 9.4% → 9.7% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. VOXVox 4.0% → 8.6% 0 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 8,383 valid votes including 74 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Moguer in size, in Huelva

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