Moguer: no list would have a majority, PSOE-A largest
Moguer (Huelva, 22,643 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- 70%no list with a majority
- 8,383valid votes in 2023 (63% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 70% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Moguer
Moguer is a municipality in the province of Huelva with 22,643 inhabitants, the 4th largest of its 80 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PSOE-A came first with 47.7% of the vote and 11 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 8. 62.7% of the 13,364 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE-A would be largest on 10 of 21.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOE-APSOE 47.7% → 43.5% 11 → 10 councillors
- PPPP 38.1% → 37.3% 8 → 8 councillors
- AVEMALocal lists 9.4% → 9.7% 2 → 2 councillors
- VOXVox 4.0% → 8.6% 0 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 8,383 valid votes including 74 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.