Cartaya: no list would have a majority, PP largest
Cartaya (Huelva, 20,717 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- over 99%no list with a majority
- 7,828valid votes in 2023 (58% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP±0
8
councillors (2023: 8) · 31.4% of the vote (2023: 32.5%)
Majority under 1%
PSOE-A−1
6
councillors (2023: 7) · 27.3% of the vote (2023: 31.1%)
Majority 0%
VOX+2
4
councillors (2023: 2) · 17.9% of the vote (2023: 11.2%)
Majority 0%
ICAR±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 14.1% of the vote (2023: 13.7%)
Majority 0%
CON ANDALUCÍA−1
0
councillors (2023: 1) · 3.5% of the vote (2023: 5.9%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 32.5% → 31.4% 8 → 8 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 31.1% → 27.3% 7 → 6 councillors
- VOXVox 11.2% → 17.9% 2 → 4 councillors
- ICARLocal lists 13.7% → 14.1% 3 → 3 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 4.1% → 4.2% 0 → 0 councillors
- CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 5.9% → 3.5% 1 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 7,828 valid votes including 122 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.