Punta Umbría: UPU would win a majority
Punta Umbría (Huelva, 16,167 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 17councillors, 9 for a majority
- 51%no list with a majority
- 8,455valid votes in 2023 (64% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
UPU+1
9
councillors (2023: 8) · 44.7% of the vote (2023: 43.0%)
Majority 49%
PSOE-A±0
4
councillors (2023: 4) · 21.6% of the vote (2023: 24.9%)
Majority 0%
PP−1
3
councillors (2023: 4) · 19.3% of the vote (2023: 20.2%)
Majority 0%
VOX+1
1
councillors (2023: 0) · 8.5% of the vote (2023: 3.9%)
Majority 0%
CON ANDALUCÍA−1
0
councillors (2023: 1) · 3.0% of the vote (2023: 5.3%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 51% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- UPULocal lists 43.0% → 44.7% 8 → 9 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 24.9% → 21.6% 4 → 4 councillors
- PPPP 20.2% → 19.3% 4 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 3.9% → 8.5% 0 → 1 councillors
- CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 5.3% → 3.0% 1 → 0 councillors
- XHLocal lists 1.8% → 1.9% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 8,455 valid votes including 79 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Punta Umbría in size, in Huelva
- Bollullos Par del Condado14,293 inhabitants · 17 councillors
- Gibraleón12,930 inhabitants · 17 councillors
- Valverde del Camino12,721 inhabitants · 17 councillors
- Cartaya20,717 inhabitants · 21 councillors
- Palos de la Frontera12,483 inhabitants · 17 councillors
- Isla Cristina21,523 inhabitants · 21 councillors