Gibraleón: PSOE-A would keep its majority
Gibraleón (Huelva, 12,930 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 17councillors, 9 for a majority
- 73%PSOE-A majority
- 6,270valid votes in 2023 (62% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PSOE-A−1
9
councillors (2023: 10) · 51.5% of the vote (2023: 54.2%)
Majority 73%
PP±0
7
councillors (2023: 7) · 37.1% of the vote (2023: 36.7%)
Majority 7%
VOX+1
1
councillors (2023: 0) · 7.3% of the vote (2023: 2.8%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 20% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOE-APSOE 54.2% → 51.5% 10 → 9 councillors
- PPPP 36.7% → 37.1% 7 → 7 councillors
- VOXVox 2.8% → 7.3% 0 → 1 councillors
- CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 4.9% → 2.7% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 6,270 valid votes including 83 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Gibraleón in size, in Huelva
- Valverde del Camino12,721 inhabitants · 17 councillors
- Palos de la Frontera12,483 inhabitants · 17 councillors
- Bollullos Par del Condado14,293 inhabitants · 17 councillors
- La Palma del Condado10,770 inhabitants · 17 councillors
- Punta Umbría16,167 inhabitants · 17 councillors
- San Juan del Puerto9,532 inhabitants · 13 councillors