Gibraleón: PSOE-A would keep its majority
Gibraleón (Huelva, 12,930 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 17councillors, 9 for a majority
- 73%PSOE-A majority
- 6,270valid votes in 2023 (62% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 20% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Gibraleón
Gibraleón is a municipality in the province of Huelva with 12,930 inhabitants, the 11th largest of its 80 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PSOE-A came first with 54.2% of the vote and 10 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 7. 61.6% of the 10,177 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE-A on 9 seats, a majority, which it holds in 73% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOE-APSOE 54.2% → 51.5% 10 → 9 councillors
- PPPP 36.7% → 37.1% 7 → 7 councillors
- VOXVox 2.8% → 7.3% 0 → 1 councillors
- CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 4.9% → 2.7% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 6,270 valid votes including 83 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Gibraleón in size, in Huelva
- Valverde del Camino12,721 inhabitants · 17 councillors
- Palos de la Frontera12,483 inhabitants · 17 councillors
- Bollullos Par del Condado14,293 inhabitants · 17 councillors
- La Palma del Condado10,770 inhabitants · 17 councillors
- Punta Umbría16,167 inhabitants · 17 councillors
- San Juan del Puerto9,532 inhabitants · 13 councillors