Palos de la Frontera: PP would keep its majority
Palos de la Frontera (Huelva, 12,483 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 17councillors, 9 for a majority
- over 99%PP majority
- 5,676valid votes in 2023 (71% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Palos de la Frontera
Palos de la Frontera is a municipality in the province of Huelva with 12,483 inhabitants, the 13th largest of its 80 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 69.4% of the vote and 13 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE-A was second with 4. 70.5% of the 8,047 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 13 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 69.4% → 68.5% 13 → 13 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 23.6% → 20.2% 4 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 2.4% → 6.6% 0 → 1 councillors
- AVEMALocal lists 3.2% → 3.3% 0 → 0 councillors
- UPMAZLocal lists 0.6% → 0.6% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 5,676 valid votes including 46 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Palos de la Frontera in size, in Huelva
- Valverde del Camino12,721 inhabitants · 17 councillors
- Gibraleón12,930 inhabitants · 17 councillors
- Bollullos Par del Condado14,293 inhabitants · 17 councillors
- La Palma del Condado10,770 inhabitants · 17 councillors
- Punta Umbría16,167 inhabitants · 17 councillors
- San Juan del Puerto9,532 inhabitants · 13 councillors