Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Palos de la Frontera: PP would keep its majority

Palos de la Frontera (Huelva, 12,483 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
13 councillors (2023: 13) · 68.5% of the vote (2023: 69.4%) Majority over 99%
PSOE-A−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 20.2% of the vote (2023: 23.6%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 6.6% of the vote (2023: 2.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Palos de la Frontera

Palos de la Frontera is a municipality in the province of Huelva with 12,483 inhabitants, the 13th largest of its 80 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 69.4% of the vote and 13 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE-A was second with 4. 70.5% of the 8,047 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 13 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 69.4% → 68.5% 13 → 13 councillors
  2. PSOE-APSOE 23.6% → 20.2% 4 → 3 councillors
  3. VOXVox 2.4% → 6.6% 0 → 1 councillors
  4. AVEMALocal lists 3.2% → 3.3% 0 → 0 councillors
  5. UPMAZLocal lists 0.6% → 0.6% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 5,676 valid votes including 46 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Palos de la Frontera in size, in Huelva

Every municipality in Huelva → · All of Spain →