Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Isla Cristina: no list would have a majority, PSOE-A largest

Isla Cristina (Huelva, 21,523 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE-A−1
6 councillors (2023: 7) · 26.0% of the vote (2023: 28.6%) Majority 0%
PP±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 25.6% of the vote (2023: 25.7%) Majority 0%
ANDALUCÍA POR SI±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 17.6% of the vote (2023: 16.4%) Majority 0%
P.I.F±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 13.1% of the vote (2023: 12.2%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 6.8% of the vote (2023: 2.4%) Majority 0%
CXIC±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 5.1% of the vote (2023: 7.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOE-APSOE 28.6% → 26.0% 7 → 6 councillors
  2. PPPP 25.7% → 25.6% 6 → 6 councillors
  3. ANDALUCÍA POR SILocal lists 16.4% → 17.6% 4 → 4 councillors
  4. P.I.FLocal lists 12.2% → 13.1% 3 → 3 councillors
  5. VOXVox 2.4% → 6.8% 0 → 1 councillors
  6. CXICSumar, Podemos and allies 7.4% → 5.1% 1 → 1 councillors
  7. I.L.R.Local lists 2.8% → 3.0% 0 → 0 councillors
  8. ADELANTE ANDALUCÍALocal lists 1.5% → 1.6% 0 → 0 councillors
  9. CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 1.7% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 8,745 valid votes including 111 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Isla Cristina in size, in Huelva

Every municipality in Huelva → · All of Spain →