Isla Cristina: no list would have a majority, PSOE-A largest
Isla Cristina (Huelva, 21,523 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- over 99%no list with a majority
- 8,745valid votes in 2023 (54% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Isla Cristina
Isla Cristina is a municipality in the province of Huelva with 21,523 inhabitants, the 7th largest of its 80 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PSOE-A came first with 28.6% of the vote and 7 seats; PP was second with 6. 54% of the 16,187 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE-A would be largest on 6 of 21.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOE-APSOE 28.6% → 26.0% 7 → 6 councillors
- PPPP 25.7% → 25.6% 6 → 6 councillors
- ANDALUCÍA POR SILocal lists 16.4% → 17.6% 4 → 4 councillors
- P.I.FLocal lists 12.2% → 13.1% 3 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 2.4% → 6.8% 0 → 1 councillors
- CXICSumar, Podemos and allies 7.4% → 5.1% 1 → 1 councillors
- I.L.R.Local lists 2.8% → 3.0% 0 → 0 councillors
- ADELANTE ANDALUCÍALocal lists 1.5% → 1.6% 0 → 0 councillors
- CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 1.7% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 8,745 valid votes including 111 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.