Almonte: ILUSIONA would keep its majority
Almonte (Huelva, 25,448 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- 67%ILUSIONA majority
- 9,936valid votes in 2023 (58% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
ILUSIONA±0
11
councillors (2023: 11) · 47.2% of the vote (2023: 47.3%)
Majority 67%
PSOE-A−1
3
councillors (2023: 4) · 14.2% of the vote (2023: 17.8%)
Majority 0%
PP±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 13.2% of the vote (2023: 14.7%)
Majority 0%
VOX+2
3
councillors (2023: 1) · 12.3% of the vote (2023: 7.1%)
Majority 0%
MESA−1
1
councillors (2023: 2) · 8.0% of the vote (2023: 8.0%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 33% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- ILUSIONALocal lists 47.3% → 47.2% 11 → 11 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 17.8% → 14.2% 4 → 3 councillors
- PPPP 14.7% → 13.2% 3 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 7.1% → 12.3% 1 → 3 councillors
- MESALocal lists 8.0% → 8.0% 2 → 1 councillors
- IXALocal lists 4.2% → 4.2% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 9,936 valid votes including 92 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.