Cartaya: no list would have a majority, PP largest
Cartaya (Huelva, 20,717 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- over 99%no list with a majority
- 7,828valid votes in 2023 (58% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Cartaya
Cartaya is a municipality in the province of Huelva with 20,717 inhabitants, the 8th largest of its 80 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 32.5% of the vote and 8 seats; PSOE-A was second with 7. 57.9% of the 13,516 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 8 of 21.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 32.5% → 31.4% 8 → 8 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 31.1% → 27.3% 7 → 6 councillors
- VOXVox 11.2% → 17.9% 2 → 4 councillors
- ICARLocal lists 13.7% → 14.1% 3 → 3 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 4.1% → 4.2% 0 → 0 councillors
- CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 5.9% → 3.5% 1 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 7,828 valid votes including 122 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.