Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Aljaraque: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Aljaraque (Huelva, 22,078 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP−1
9 councillors (2023: 10) · 40.2% of the vote (2023: 41.5%) Majority 20%
VOX+2
5 councillors (2023: 3) · 21.3% of the vote (2023: 13.8%) Majority 0%
PSOE-A−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 16.1% of the vote (2023: 19.4%) Majority 0%
CON ANDALUCÍA−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 9.4% of the vote (2023: 12.5%) Majority 0%
AHORA INDEPENDIENTES±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 6.3% of the vote (2023: 6.1%) Majority 0%
CS+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 5.0% of the vote (2023: 4.9%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 80% of 300 simulated elections.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Aljaraque

Aljaraque is a municipality in the province of Huelva with 22,078 inhabitants, the 5th largest of its 80 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 41.5% of the vote and 10 seats; PSOE-A was second with 4. 55.6% of the 17,026 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 9 of 21.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 41.5% → 40.2% 10 → 9 councillors
  2. VOXVox 13.8% → 21.3% 3 → 5 councillors
  3. PSOE-APSOE 19.4% → 16.1% 4 → 3 councillors
  4. CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 12.5% → 9.4% 3 → 2 councillors
  5. AHORA INDEPENDIENTESLocal lists 6.1% → 6.3% 1 → 1 councillors
  6. CSCiudadanos 4.9% → 5.0% 0 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 9,468 valid votes including 161 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Aljaraque in size, in Huelva

Every municipality in Huelva → · All of Spain →