España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Loranca de Tajuña: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Loranca de Tajuña (Guadalajara, 1,318 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 36.0% of the vote (2023: 38.2%) Majority 6%
TLP+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 27.9% of the vote (2023: 27.9%) Majority 0%
PSOE±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 18.6% of the vote (2023: 22.5%) Majority 0%
VOX±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 16.5% of the vote (2023: 10.5%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 94% of 300 simulated elections.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Loranca de Tajuña

Loranca de Tajuña is a municipality in the province of Guadalajara with 1,318 inhabitants, the 30th largest of its 288 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 38.2% of the vote and 4 seats; TLP was second with 2. 57.3% of the 1,132 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 3 of 9.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 38.2% → 36.0% 4 → 3 councillors
  2. TLPLocal lists 27.9% → 27.9% 2 → 3 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 22.5% → 18.6% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. VOXVox 10.5% → 16.5% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 649 valid votes including 6 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Loranca de Tajuña in size, in Guadalajara

Every municipality in Guadalajara → · All of Spain →