Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Jadraque: PSOE would keep its majority

Jadraque (Guadalajara, 1,393 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 49.8% of the vote (2023: 55.2%) Majority 80%
PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 23.2% of the vote (2023: 24.5%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 18.5% of the vote (2023: 11.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 20% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 55.2% → 49.8% 6 → 5 councillors
  2. PPPP 24.5% → 23.2% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. VOXVox 11.8% → 18.5% 1 → 2 councillors
  4. A.I.J.Local lists 7.6% → 7.7% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 791 valid votes including 7 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Jadraque in size, in Guadalajara

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