Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Trijueque: no list would have a majority, VOX largest

Trijueque (Guadalajara, 1,478 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

VOX+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 35.7% of the vote (2023: 26.6%) Majority 1%
PP−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 33.0% of the vote (2023: 36.2%) Majority under 1%
PSOE±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 29.2% of the vote (2023: 35.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 98% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. VOXVox 26.6% → 35.7% 2 → 3 councillors
  2. PPPP 36.2% → 33.0% 4 → 3 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 35.1% → 29.2% 3 → 3 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 624 valid votes including 13 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Trijueque in size, in Guadalajara

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