Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Pozo de Guadalajara: PSOE would keep its majority

Pozo de Guadalajara (Guadalajara, 1,555 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 49.6% of the vote (2023: 54.5%) Majority 81%
PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 25.7% of the vote (2023: 26.9%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 14.4% of the vote (2023: 8.5%) Majority 0%
CS±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 9.8% of the vote (2023: 9.5%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 19% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 54.5% → 49.6% 6 → 5 councillors
  2. PPPP 26.9% → 25.7% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. VOXVox 8.5% → 14.4% 0 → 1 councillors
  4. CSCiudadanos 9.5% → 9.8% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 673 valid votes including 4 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Pozo de Guadalajara in size, in Guadalajara

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