Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Tórtola de Henares: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Tórtola de Henares (Guadalajara, 1,331 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 40.9% of the vote (2023: 41.7%) Majority 21%
PSOE−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 35.7% of the vote (2023: 39.6%) Majority 3%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 18.9% of the vote (2023: 11.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 76% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 41.7% → 40.9% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 39.6% → 35.7% 4 → 3 councillors
  3. VOXVox 11.8% → 18.9% 1 → 2 councillors
  4. I.U.Sumar, Podemos and allies 6.2% → 3.9% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 705 valid votes including 5 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Tórtola de Henares in size, in Guadalajara

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