Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Valdeaveruelo: PP would keep its majority

Valdeaveruelo (Guadalajara, 1,177 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 52.0% of the vote (2023: 54.7%) Majority 84%
PSOE−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 24.3% of the vote (2023: 28.6%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 21.1% of the vote (2023: 14.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 16% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 54.7% → 52.0% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 28.6% → 24.3% 3 → 2 councillors
  3. VOXVox 14.1% → 21.1% 1 → 2 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 653 valid votes including 17 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Valdeaveruelo in size, in Guadalajara

Every municipality in Guadalajara → · All of Spain →