España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Almoguera: no list would have a majority, CIHGU largest

Almoguera (Guadalajara, 1,284 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

CIHGU+1
4 councillors (2023: 3) · 41.4% of the vote (2023: 38.9%) Majority 11%
PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 40.9% of the vote (2023: 40.7%) Majority 14%
PSOE−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 17.0% of the vote (2023: 19.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 74% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. CIHGULocal lists 38.9% → 41.4% 3 → 4 councillors
  2. PPPP 40.7% → 40.9% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 19.7% → 17.0% 2 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 823 valid votes including 6 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Almoguera in size, in Guadalajara

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