España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Almoguera: no list would have a majority, CIHGU largest

Almoguera (Guadalajara, 1,284 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

CIHGU+1
4 councillors (2023: 3) · 41.4% of the vote (2023: 38.9%) Majority 11%
PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 40.9% of the vote (2023: 40.7%) Majority 14%
PSOE−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 17.0% of the vote (2023: 19.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 74% of 300 simulated elections.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Almoguera

Almoguera is a municipality in the province of Guadalajara with 1,284 inhabitants, the 31st largest of its 288 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 40.7% of the vote and 4 seats; CIHGU was second with 3. 81.9% of the 1,005 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 4 of 9.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. CIHGULocal lists 38.9% → 41.4% 3 → 4 councillors
  2. PPPP 40.7% → 40.9% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 19.7% → 17.0% 2 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 823 valid votes including 6 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Almoguera in size, in Guadalajara

Every municipality in Guadalajara → · All of Spain →