Las Gabias: PP would keep its majority
Las Gabias (Granada, 22,312 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- 80%PP majority
- 9,296valid votes in 2023 (54% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 20% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Las Gabias
Las Gabias is a municipality in the province of Granada with 22,312 inhabitants, the 5th largest of its 174 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 50.1% of the vote and 12 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE-A was second with 7. 53.9% of the 17,250 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 12 seats, a majority, which it holds in 80% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 50.1% → 50.1% 12 → 12 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 27.4% → 24.4% 7 → 6 councillors
- VOXVox 9.6% → 16.2% 2 → 3 councillors
- UXL.G.Local lists 4.6% → 4.9% 0 → 0 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 1.5% → 1.6% 0 → 0 councillors
- PARA LA GENTESumar, Podemos and allies 2.7% → 0.7% 0 → 0 councillors
- PODEMOS-AVSumar, Podemos and allies 2.6% → 0.6% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 9,296 valid votes including 133 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.