Baza: no list would have a majority, PP largest
Baza (Granada, 20,376 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- 68%no list with a majority
- 9,623valid votes in 2023 (61% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP+1
10
councillors (2023: 9) · 40.8% of the vote (2023: 40.0%)
Majority 21%
PSOE-A±0
9
councillors (2023: 9) · 38.2% of the vote (2023: 40.6%)
Majority 11%
VOX+1
2
councillors (2023: 1) · 12.1% of the vote (2023: 6.3%)
Majority 0%
PARA LA GENTE−1
0
councillors (2023: 1) · 4.4% of the vote (2023: 6.6%)
Majority 0%
IAG−1
0
councillors (2023: 1) · 3.1% of the vote (2023: 5.3%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 68% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 40.0% → 40.8% 9 → 10 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 40.6% → 38.2% 9 → 9 councillors
- VOXVox 6.3% → 12.1% 1 → 2 councillors
- PARA LA GENTESumar, Podemos and allies 6.6% → 4.4% 1 → 0 councillors
- IAGSumar, Podemos and allies 5.3% → 3.1% 1 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 9,623 valid votes including 123 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.