Baza: no list would have a majority, PP largest
Baza (Granada, 20,376 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- 68%no list with a majority
- 9,623valid votes in 2023 (61% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 68% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Baza
Baza is a municipality in the province of Granada with 20,376 inhabitants, the 8th largest of its 174 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PSOE-A came first with 40.6% of the vote and 9 seats; PP was second with 9. 61.1% of the 15,741 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 10 of 21.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 40.0% → 40.8% 9 → 10 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 40.6% → 38.2% 9 → 9 councillors
- VOXVox 6.3% → 12.1% 1 → 2 councillors
- PARA LA GENTESumar, Podemos and allies 6.6% → 4.4% 1 → 0 councillors
- IAGSumar, Podemos and allies 5.3% → 3.1% 1 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 9,623 valid votes including 123 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.