Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Loja: PP would keep its majority

Loja (Granada, 20,555 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP−1
12 councillors (2023: 13) · 57.3% of the vote (2023: 58.4%) Majority 93%
PSOE-A±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 31.1% of the vote (2023: 35.1%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 10.9% of the vote (2023: 5.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 7% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 58.4% → 57.3% 13 → 12 councillors
  2. PSOE-APSOE 35.1% → 31.1% 7 → 7 councillors
  3. VOXVox 5.7% → 10.9% 1 → 2 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 10,701 valid votes including 82 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Loja in size, in Granada

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