Las Gabias: PP would keep its majority
Las Gabias (Granada, 22,312 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- 80%PP majority
- 9,296valid votes in 2023 (54% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP±0
12
councillors (2023: 12) · 50.1% of the vote (2023: 50.1%)
Majority 80%
PSOE-A−1
6
councillors (2023: 7) · 24.4% of the vote (2023: 27.4%)
Majority 0%
VOX+1
3
councillors (2023: 2) · 16.2% of the vote (2023: 9.6%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 20% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 50.1% → 50.1% 12 → 12 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 27.4% → 24.4% 7 → 6 councillors
- VOXVox 9.6% → 16.2% 2 → 3 councillors
- UXL.G.Local lists 4.6% → 4.9% 0 → 0 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 1.5% → 1.6% 0 → 0 councillors
- PARA LA GENTESumar, Podemos and allies 2.7% → 0.7% 0 → 0 councillors
- PODEMOS-AVSumar, Podemos and allies 2.6% → 0.6% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 9,296 valid votes including 133 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.