Barbate: no list would have a majority, UA largest
Barbate (Cádiz, 22,872 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- over 99%no list with a majority
- 10,477valid votes in 2023 (57% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Barbate
Barbate is a municipality in the province of Cádiz with 22,872 inhabitants, the 15th largest of its 45 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 UA came first with 30.6% of the vote and 8 seats; PSOE-A was second with 7. 56.8% of the 18,458 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: UA would be largest on 8 of 21.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- UALocal lists 30.6% → 31.9% 8 → 8 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 27.1% → 23.8% 7 → 6 councillors
- PPPP 17.4% → 16.6% 4 → 4 councillors
- SIEMPRELocal lists 9.3% → 9.7% 2 → 2 councillors
- VOXVox 3.3% → 7.7% 0 → 1 councillors
- G.D.ZLocal lists 3.9% → 4.1% 0 → 0 councillors
- IU ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 4.7% → 2.5% 0 → 0 councillors
- ABHELocal lists 1.5% → 1.6% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 10,477 valid votes including 230 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.