Santurtzi: no list would have a majority, EH BILDU largest
Santurtzi (Bizkaia, 45,749 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- over 99%no list with a majority
- 21,128valid votes in 2023 (57% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Santurtzi
Santurtzi is a municipality in the province of Bizkaia with 45,749 inhabitants, the 4th largest of its 112 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 EAJ-PNV came first with 32.2% of the vote and 7 seats; EH BILDU was second with 6. 57.1% of the 37,016 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: EH BILDU would be largest on 7 of 21.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- EH BILDUEH Bildu 26.9% → 30.9% 6 → 7 councillors
- EAJ-PNVPNV 32.2% → 28.2% 7 → 6 councillors
- PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 23.0% → 21.3% 5 → 5 councillors
- VOXVox 2.1% → 6.7% 0 → 1 councillors
- ELKARREKIN PODEMOS - EZKER ANITZA / IU - BERDEAK ESumar, Podemos and allies 8.3% → 6.1% 2 → 1 councillors
- PPPP 5.7% → 5.1% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 21,128 valid votes including 373 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.