Portugalete: PSE-EE (PSOE) would keep its majority
Portugalete (Bizkaia, 44,800 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- 59%PSE-EE (PSOE) majority
- 20,947valid votes in 2023 (58% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PSE-EE (PSOE)±0
11
councillors (2023: 11) · 45.1% of the vote (2023: 46.2%)
Majority 59%
EAJ-PNV−1
4
councillors (2023: 5) · 18.7% of the vote (2023: 21.5%)
Majority 0%
EH BILDU+1
4
councillors (2023: 3) · 18.3% of the vote (2023: 16.1%)
Majority 0%
VOX+1
1
councillors (2023: 0) · 6.3% of the vote (2023: 1.9%)
Majority 0%
PP±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 5.5% of the vote (2023: 6.2%)
Majority 0%
ELKARREKIN PODEMOS-EZKER ANITZA/IU-ALIANZA VERDE−1
0
councillors (2023: 1) · 4.5% of the vote (2023: 6.6%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 41% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 46.2% → 45.1% 11 → 11 councillors
- EAJ-PNVPNV 21.5% → 18.7% 5 → 4 councillors
- EH BILDUEH Bildu 16.1% → 18.3% 3 → 4 councillors
- VOXVox 1.9% → 6.3% 0 → 1 councillors
- PPPP 6.2% → 5.5% 1 → 1 councillors
- ELKARREKIN PODEMOS-EZKER ANITZA/IU-ALIANZA VERDESumar, Podemos and allies 6.6% → 4.5% 1 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 20,947 valid votes including 323 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.