Santurtzi: no list would have a majority, EH BILDU largest
Santurtzi (Bizkaia, 45,749 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- over 99%no list with a majority
- 21,128valid votes in 2023 (57% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
EH BILDU+1
7
councillors (2023: 6) · 30.9% of the vote (2023: 26.9%)
Majority 0%
EAJ-PNV−1
6
councillors (2023: 7) · 28.2% of the vote (2023: 32.2%)
Majority under 1%
PSE-EE (PSOE)±0
5
councillors (2023: 5) · 21.3% of the vote (2023: 23.0%)
Majority 0%
VOX+1
1
councillors (2023: 0) · 6.7% of the vote (2023: 2.1%)
Majority 0%
ELKARREKIN PODEMOS - EZKER ANITZA / IU - BERDEAK E−1
1
councillors (2023: 2) · 6.1% of the vote (2023: 8.3%)
Majority 0%
PP±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 5.1% of the vote (2023: 5.7%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- EH BILDUEH Bildu 26.9% → 30.9% 6 → 7 councillors
- EAJ-PNVPNV 32.2% → 28.2% 7 → 6 councillors
- PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 23.0% → 21.3% 5 → 5 councillors
- VOXVox 2.1% → 6.7% 0 → 1 councillors
- ELKARREKIN PODEMOS - EZKER ANITZA / IU - BERDEAK ESumar, Podemos and allies 8.3% → 6.1% 2 → 1 councillors
- PPPP 5.7% → 5.1% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 21,128 valid votes including 373 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.